Electric cars won’t overload the power grid — and they could even help modernize our aging infrastructure

https://www.autoblog.com/2022/10/16/electric-cars-power-grid/


Tesla
electric cars charge at a Supercharger.
George Rose/Getty Images
  • Electric cars won’t overwhelm the US grid anytime soon, energy and transportation experts say. 
  • EVs don’t consume a lot of energy now, and it will be decades before electric cars take over fully.
  • EVs can be charged when it’s best for the grid and may even be able to store energy for the future.

Battery-powered Teslas, Fords, and Volkswagens aren’t about to overwhelm the US electrical grid, despite what Tucker Carlson and some Republican politicians say. 

Last month, electric-vehicle skeptics had a field day when California’s utility urged customers to conserve power during a scorching heat wave by not charging their cars during certain hours. Some conservatives questioned how the state expected to ban sales of combustion-engine cars by 2035 if it couldn’t handle the number of EVs on the road today. 

On his Fox News show, Carlson bashed electric cars as a “new way to overburden California’s already collapsing energy grid.” 

Energy and transportation experts disagree. More electric cars plugging in will increase energy demands over time, necessitating a more robust grid and smarter charging habits, they say. But there’s no cause for immediate alarm. With careful planning, there will be plenty of electricity to go around. 

EVs may someday make the grid stronger and more resilient. 

EVs aren’t a big power suck

Though California has more electric cars than any other state, they make up just .4% of all energy consumption during peak hours. Even at 2030 estimates, some 5.6 million electric cars, trucks, and vans would only comprise 4% of peak loads.

“Saying they’re what’s straining the grid ignores 99.6% of today’s challenge,” Max Baumhefner, a senior attorney with the National Resources Defense Council, said in a recent blog post

Though EV sales are rising, Americans keep their cars for 12 years on average, so it’s going to be a long time before the entire US fleet changes over. The Rocky Mountain Institute, a sustainability-research group, projects that total US energy demand will grow 1% to 2% annually as a result of electric-car adoption. That’s comparable to the increases utilities saw during the energy-consumption booms of the 20th century, with the proliferation of refrigeration and air-conditioning, the group said.

“Load growth is something that some utilities haven’t had to deal with for a while, but it’s generally well within the range of what utilities can plan and manage for,” Chaz Teplin, a principal at RMI, said, adding that the larger challenge will be transitioning the country to renewable energy sources.  Still, grid upgrades will be needed to handle the extra load, experts say. According to a 2020 study from the Brattle Group, 20 million light-duty EVs on US roads by 2030 will require a $45 to $75 billion investment in more robust energy generation, distribution, and storage. 

EVs are uniquely flexible

Unlike a refrigerator that needs to keep food cold 24/7 or an air conditioner that might draw power for hours on end on a hot day, a typical electric car might be parked 23 hours out of the day. That affords lots of flexibility in terms of when they’re charged. Shifting charging to times that are most advantageous to the grid — like overnight when demand is low or during the day when solar generation is high — can greatly reduce peak grid stress, even with increased demand from EVs, experts said.

“For the foreseeable future, we can do a lot with the grid we already have,” Nick Nigro, the founder of Atlas Public Policy, a transportation-focused consultancy, told Insider. 

RMI sees California’s recent heat wave as proof that managed charging works: People adjusted their habits and the state avoided blackouts. If drivers continue to charge whenever they feel like it, “then it means we need to build an extremely robust grid,” Matthias Preindl, an electrical engineering professor at Columbia University, said. But smart-grid technology that instructs vehicles when to charge could do wonders for managing peak loads and negate the need for infrastructure upgrades in many areas, he said. Some utilities have smart-charging programs, but they aren’t commonplace yet. 

A recent study of the 2035 EV ecosystem found that encouraging people to charge during the day could save Western states billions on energy-storage investments. Increased solar generation will require batteries to store electricity for nighttime use, but daytime charging cuts down on that need.

In the future, EVs can support the grid

Some experts envision a future where EVs can strengthen power grids if used cleverly. Vehicle-to-grid, or V2G, technology would transform plugged-in electric cars into a distributed battery system that could help utilities store electricity for emergencies or times of excessive demand. 

This future is far off, but car companies are dabbling in adjacent technologies. The Ford F-150 Lightning pickup truck can act as a backup generator and power a home for up to three days, for example. Preindl said V2G will be key for storing energy generated by wind and solar and transitioning the US to clean energy sources. ”If all cars are electric, the amount of energy storage we have access to is huge,” he said.

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October 16, 2022 at 11:11AM

The GMC Hummer EV is big and fast; it’s also a social conundrum

https://www.autoblog.com/2022/10/17/gmc-hummer-ev-safety-essay-atlantic/


Pedestrian fatalities, unresolved safety issues, overachieving and overweight trucks — overweight electric trucks — and divisive attitudes about vehicles equipped as is the new Hummer EV, are very much on the mind of Robinson Meyer.

Mr. Meyer, who suggests that the 1,000-horsepower pickup is a cross “between an ambulance and a race car,” is a staff writer for The Atlantic, a well-respected, long-lived journal founded in 1857. His recent essay in the monthly’s flagship magazine starts off describing a scary video clip posted online by Edward Barseghian that features the 9,000-pound Hummer hurtling full tilt towards three lanes of cars idling at a light (the driver stops it in time). Then he goes on to pretty much berate the machine.

“The Hummer EV haters and lovers had discovered one of the most important facts about electric ‘super trucks‘: They are very heavy, and they go very fast,” he writes. “If you imagine an ambulance that can accelerate as fast as a Formula 1 car, you’re imagining a vehicle only slightly more unwieldy than the new Hummer.”

Meyer goes on to discuss the issue of allowing battery powered vehicles that weigh as much as the Hummer does onto public roads. “The weight of EVs is a safety issue that drivers — and cyclists and pedestrians — will only have to keep worrying about as these cars go mainstream,” he explains. “Suffice it to say that cars as huge as the Hummer EV need to face some kind of regulation, especially in cities and towns, where they pose a distinct threat to the public.”

To Hummer devotees, them’s fightin’ words. But Meyer takes pains to present a sort of response from Anthony Schiavo, a research director at Lux Research, a global advisory firm: Why is the Hummer so heavy if its batteries weigh only about 3,000 pounds?

“It’s absolutely a design choice and a marketing choice,” Schiavo answers. “People like larger vehicles, and the reason why those larger vehicles are getting made is because they sell.”

The author concludes by bringing into his thesis the issues of climate change, liberal and conservative politics. In some places, his arguments wander; they become muddled. But for those enthused about electrics and big trucks, “Frankenstein’s Hummer” is worth a read.

Related video:

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October 17, 2022 at 08:53AM

Success! NASA Says DART Really Clocked That Asteroid

https://www.wired.com/story/success-nasa-dart-dimorphos-asteroid/

Two weeks ago, the asteroid Dimorphos was minding its own business, quietly orbiting around its partner Didymos, when suddenly NASA’s DART spacecraft plowed into it at 14,000 miles per hour.

The space agency and its partners planned that collision to see whether such an impact could alter an asteroid or comet’s trajectory—should humanity ever need to defend the planet from an oncoming space rock. Before the crash on September 26, Dimorphos circled its neighbor like clockwork: one lap every 11 hours and 55 minutes. If the DART test was successful, the proof would be a change in that orbital period, showing that the refrigerator-sized spacecraft had nudged the asteroid onto a different path.

Now the DART team has an answer: It worked—even better than expected. “For the first time ever, humanity has changed the orbit of a planetary body,” said Lori Glaze, director of the Planetary Science Division at NASA headquarters in Washington, at a press conference today revealing the result. 

The team would have considered a 10-minute difference a success, said NASA chief Bill Nelson. But DART actually shortened the asteroid’s orbit by a whopping 32 minutes. Dimorphos now takes only about 11 hours and 23 minutes to circle its partner, he said—a significant change, meaning that it is indeed possible to deflect a small asteroid’s path. “NASA is serious about defending the planet,” he said.

Photograph: NASA/ASI

Scientists observed the DART collision several ways. As the probe flew towards its target, it first glimpsed the oncoming space rock with its onboard optical camera, called Draco. Dimorphos is so small and far from Earth that astronomers previously weren’t sure if it would be a solid sphere or a loose dustball; that first look revealed it to be a bumpy, slightly oval-shaped rock, with boulders strewn about.

The craft, along with the camera, were destroyed on impact. But they were being trailed by LICIACube, a briefcase-sized spacecraft developed by the Italian Space Agency that detached from DART 15 days before impact and did its own flyby, snapping photos a few minutes after the collision.

Astronomers also used telescopes on Earth to monitor the collision, including the Southern Astrophysical Research Telescope in Chile, the Las Cumbres Observatory telescopes in South Africa, the Lowell Discovery Telescope in Arizona, as well as the Hubble and the James Webb space telescopes. These telescopes captured what appeared to be rays or a comet-like tail extending from the asteroid, confirming the crash caused rocky debris to fly away.

Scientists on the DART team measured the asteroid’s “before” and “after” orbit by carefully tracking how the light coming from it changed over time. From Earth, the asteroid pair appears as a single dot, but its brightness decreases by about 10 percent every time Dimorphos eclipses Didymos or passes behind its neighbor. (It’s similar to measuring how exoplanets transit in front of the distant stars they’re orbiting.)

via Wired Top Stories https://www.wired.com

October 11, 2022 at 02:07PM

New US Chip Sanctions ‘Kneecap’ China’s Tech Industry

https://www.wired.com/story/us-chip-sanctions-kneecap-chinas-tech-industry/


Last month, the Chinese ecommerce giant Alibaba revealed a powerful new cloud computing system designed for artificial intelligence projects. It is used by Alibaba’s cloud customers to train algorithms for tasks like chatbot dialogue and video analysis, and was built using hundreds of chips from US companies Intel and Nvidia.

Last week, the US announced new export restrictions that will make future projects like that unlikely. The Biden administration’s rules forbid companies from exporting advanced chips needed to train or run the most powerful AI algorithms to China.

The sweeping new controls are designed to keep the country’s AI industry stuck in the dark ages while the US and other Western countries advance. The restrictions also block the export of chipmaking equipment and design software, and ban the world’s leading silicon fabs, including Taiwan’s TSMC and South Korea’s Samsung, from manufacturing advanced chips for Chinese companies.

“The United States is saying to China, ‘AI technology is the future; we and our allies are going there—and you can’t come,’” says Gregory Allen, director of the AI governance project at the Center for Strategic & International Studies (CSIS), a think tank in Washington, DC.

Chris Miller, a professor at Tufts University and author of the recent book Chip War: The Fight for the World’s Most Critical Technology, says the new export blockade is unlike anything seen since the Cold War. “The logic is throwing sand in the gears,” Miller says.

The US action takes advantage of a decade-long boom in artificial intelligence in which new breakthroughs have become coupled to advances in computing power. Pioneering new projects often involve machine learning algorithms trained on supercomputers with hundreds or thousands of graphics processing units (GPUs), chips originally designed for gaming but also ideal for running the necessary mathematical operations. That leaves China’s AI ambitions heavily dependent on US silicon.

Baidu, the leading Chinese web search provider and a key player in cloud AI services and autonomous driving, also uses Nvidia chips extensively in its data centers. Last October the company announced one of the world’s largest AI models for generating language, built using Nvidia hardware.

ByteDance, the Chinese company behind TikTok and its counterpart in China, Douyin, relies on Nvidia hardware to train its recommendation algorithms, according to its own software documentation. Several Chinese companies, including Alibaba and Baidu, are developing silicon chips designed to compete with those from Nvidia and AMD, but these all require manufacturing from outside China that is now off-limits. Alibaba and Baidu both declined to comment on the new rules. WIRED did not receive responses to requests for comment made to ByteDance and several other Chinese chip firms.

Big Tech companies in China—as in the US—have made large AI models increasingly central to applications including web search, product recommendation, translating and parsing language, image and video recognition, and autonomous driving. The same AI advances are expected to transform military technology in the years to come, and shape how the US and China butt heads over issues like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Taiwan’s claims to independence.

via Wired Top Stories https://www.wired.com

October 12, 2022 at 06:07AM

The Complete History of the Rick Roll

https://www.geeksaresexy.net/2022/10/12/the-complete-history-of-the-rick-roll/

From Vice:

Nearly everyone has been RickRoll’d. But few know the real story of the artist behind the 1987 hit “Never Gonna Give You Up” nor do they know about the mysterious origins of the viral RickRoll video meme that exploded in the mid-2000s. VICE meets Rick Astley and the creators of the song to learn about Rick’s meteoric rise to fame, sudden retirement, and surprising comeback. We also meet the creator of the popular RickRoll meme that cemented this persistent hit for generations to come.

[Vice]

Click This Link for the Full Post > The Complete History of the Rick Roll

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October 12, 2022 at 06:18AM

EV batteries could become a $340 billion market: Startups are racing to build them

https://www.autoblog.com/2022/10/11/ev-battery-industry/


Batteries are key to automakers’ multi-billion-dollar plans to create
electric vehicle lineups over the next several years.
Aly Song/Reuters
  • Batteries are key to automakers as they electrify their lineups over the next several years.
  • The battery industry is full of opportunities, from new technologies to supply to recycling.
  • Here’s a look at the many startups racing to lead in the battery space.

The future of the auto industry hinges, now more than ever, on batteries

Batteries are critical to automakers’ multi-billion-dollar plans to create electric vehicle lineups over the next several years. They’re important as automakers seek to differentiate themselves and their offerings from one another. And they’re crucial as the industry seeks to put its gas-guzzling, carbon-emitting past behind — but only if batteries can be developed in efficient, cost-effective, and environmentally sustainable ways. 

There’s also money to be made: The EV battery market could hit $340 billion by 2030, according to Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. 

At Insider, we’ve looked at white-hot EV battery technologies that give automakers the EV performance they need at the price their customers want. We’ve investigated how automakers are securing enough battery supply, especially amid the call for domestic sourcing brought on by requirements in President Joe Biden’s climate bill. And we’ve talked to startups working to recycle these batteries well after they’re spent. 

Below, you can read more about battery startups to watch, the battery metal shortages the industry is facing, and how automakers are navigating this important part of their business. You can also read more on the types of battery technologies that are winning in the industry. 

Key players to watch 

Automakers and nascent EV manufacturers are relying on dozens of outfits in the battery space to help them out.

As a result, new startups are emerging to tackle various bits of the battery chain, from supply to new chemistries. Established companies are also pivoting their business strategies to prepare for the upcoming demand.  

Read more: 

Automakers’ need for EV tech has flipped a long-standing power dynamic — and these 18 battery outfits are reaping the benefits

Automakers are betting on range and performance to win the electric vehicle wars. These 17 battery startups could reap the rewards by delivering an energy breakthrough.

4 startups that investors and the auto industry are betting on to help the electric-vehicle-battery industry navigate a massive supply shortage

The booming electric car battery business saw $3.6 billion in VC last year. Meet 14 of the industry’s best-funded startups — and how they plan to juice players like Rivian and GM.

Investors bet big on 11 electric-car companies in 2021. Here’s what those deals signal for 2022.

Slow charge times are driving away potential electric car buyers. These 5 startups are creating the fast charging batteries that could win them over.

6 top startups propelling the electric car boom with new alternatives to expensive lithium-ion batteries

5 EV battery startups poised to challenge Panasonic and LG Chem for dominance of a $129 billion market

Lithium Americas
Securing enough supply of EV battery materials, especially lithium, is top of mind for auto executives. Startup Lithium Americas could help.
Lithium Americas

Shortages 

The crisis in Ukraine shed a light on the impact that a shortage of a key battery metal — nickel — could have on the auto business. Cobalt and lithium are starting to be a crisis for the industry, too. 

Securing enough supply of these materials is a huge problem standing in the way of the industry’s electrification plans. Automotive execs need massive amounts of materials at the right price that can be secured in an environmentally- and financially-responsible way. 

It’s not easy, and getting this part of the EV supply chain right is perhaps the toughest challenge facing battery execs today.  

Read more: 

The supply-chain crisis is slamming EV startups, such as Rivian and Lucid, and giving big automakers an edge in the race to go electric

3 ways EV startups can overcome the supply-chain crisis and win over consumers, according to a former Tesla Gigafactory exec

Tesla, GM, Rivian, and more are dependent on the $360 billion battery business for their ambitious EV plans — but battery makers are struggling to churn out enough supply

Spiking nickel prices could add $2,000 to the cost of every electric car — and the pain may hit Rivian and Lucid way harder than Ford and GM

Elon Musk said he isn’t working on the $25,000 electric car right now. That means rival Lucid might beat Tesla to it.

Lucid’s CEO reveals how his startup walloped Tesla in the EV range wars: ‘It’s almost nothing to do with the battery’

A Rivian vehicle battery pack on the floor of its manufacturing plant in Normal Illinois
The CEO of
Rivian, for example, has warned the looming battery shortage will make the
chip shortage feel like it’s “a small appetizer.”
Rivian

How automakers are navigating the lithium problem

Automakers across the globe are betting their entire futures on electric products. But those bets look riskier with a looming EV battery supply shortage, particularly in lithium.

Some are pursuing partnerships to secure enough supply of lithium. Some are making huge investments in the space. Some think their approach to batteries could help them surpass range records to date. And some worry the impact of these shortages will only get worse.

Read more: 

Elon Musk says the soon-to-be $34 billion lithium business needs new players to rein in ‘insane’ costs. Here’s how top startups are tackling the industry’s nastiest challenges.

Booming electric-car production is creating a mad dash for lithium. Meet 13 startups angling to cash in on a supply-chain weak link that may soon be worth $34.3 billion.

Rivian, Ford, and GM are desperate to lock up vanishing lithium supplies as they shift to electric cars. Experts say these 4 moves can win them a race being led by their Chinese rivals.

Electric car makers are racing to secure a vanishing supply of lithium as prices spike. Experts say players that execute these 4 strategies will win — and those who don’t may never catch up.

Rivian CEO warns the looming EV battery shortage will make the chip shortage feel like ‘a small appetizer’ for what’s to come

Ample battery swapping
Startup Ample says its battery tech could solve
Uber’s biggest
electric car challenge.
Ample

Specific battery technologies

Range anxiety is just one of the reasons customers are hesitant to go electric. But a battery’s chemistry and technology can help bolster range, performance, and even vehicle safety. So startups in the space are experimenting with the best tech that can give their product — and their customers — a leg up. 

Energy-dense solid-state batteries, hot-swapping batteries on the go, and technology that claims to double a Tesla’s range are all on the table as startups pursue every way to get a competitive advantage in the business.   

Read more:

Rivian, GM, and Ford are desperate for batteries that set their electric cars apart. Here’s how their ‘secret sauce’ recipes stack up.

A startup that says it cracked the code on electric car batteries is poised to help automakers master a nasty challenge: a snarled supply chain

A Michigan startup doubled a Tesla’s range by customizing it with a special battery

How solid-state batteries can unseat lithium-ion, according to an exec at a startup backed by Ford and BMW

A top battery startup just tapped a Tesla veteran to lead manufacturing. Here’s her plan to dominate EVs.

Startup cofounders reveal their plan to solve the EV industry’s crucial cost problem by remaking the lithium-ion battery

Porsche Taycan Turbo S
Porsche led a $400 million Series C round into a startup making lithium-silicon batteries as EV battery startups continue to be attractive to investors.
Porsche

Startups raising rounds

The uncertain macroeconomic environment over the past year has been challenging for startups in every sector as they look to raise funds at a critical time for their businesses.  

But companies in the world of batteries are still bringing in a ton of capital these days, and the industry expects that to continue. That’s because automakers are going to need a variety of solutions for their battery needs in the coming years. Startups are raising across battery chemistry, mining, and even swapping. 

Read more: 

Here’s the 13-page pitch deck that the mining startup claiming it can solve a crisis for electric-car makers used to raise a $16 million Series A from Playground Global

Bill Gates already poured millions into this startup racing to figure out how to get more lithium for the EV industry. Now he’s in for a second round of investment as lithium scarcity becomes critical.

Porsche’s plan to go electric hinges on delivering the performance its buyers expect. It just led a $400 million investment into the little-known EV battery startup that could make it work.

Read the 11-slide pitch deck startup Liminal used to scoop up $8 million to help electric car makers avoid costly battery recalls — and get ahead of Tesla

Uber’s biggest electric car problem could be solved by the startup that’s gotten $50 million from Blackstone this year

Battery makers are crucial to automakers transitioning to electric vehicles. Check out the 10-page pitch deck that persuaded Renault to back one startup’s $119 million round.

 

Ford Rouge Electric Vehicle Center.
Auto companies need millions of electric-vehicle batteries in the coming years, and
battery recycling is a key way to return materials back into the supply chain.
Ford

Battery recycling

Battery materials, chemistry, and technologies are crucial — but so is figuring out what to do with these batteries once they can’t be used in a vehicle any longer. 

Recycling is taking off, and companies are working hard to ensure the materials put into an EV battery get returned to the auto supply chain. 

But that’s not the only option. Various stakeholders are experimenting with repurposing or refurbishing these batteries for second-life use cases, like energy storage.

Read more:

Automaker needs for EV materials mean battery refurbishment is taking off. Meet 10 outfits poised to cash in on the alternative to battery recycling.

Automakers desperate for EV materials have made battery recycling a booming business. Now the battery-refurbishment industry is taking off, too.

Bill Gates just poured more money into a car-metal-recycling startup. Here’s an exclusive look at the 12-slide pitch deck that won over him and investors at Assembly Ventures.

Giants like Tesla, GM, and Ford are going to be desperate for EV materials in the next decade. The 4 startups are betting they can cash in by recycling old batteries into new ones.

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October 11, 2022 at 09:54AM