Month: May 2018

Back in 1998, the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts housed the 27th most-powerful supercomputer in the world, with 116 cores providing a maximum performance of 213 gigaflops. Today, the ECMWF forecasting center has the world’s 27th and 28th most powerful supercomputers, each with 126,000 cores and 20,000 times the computing power of its machine two decades ago.

This dramatic increase in computing power at the European center—as well as similar increases at US-based and other international numerical modeling centers—helps to explain the dramatic increase in hurricane-forecast accuracy over the same time period.

One of the leading Chinese smartphone makers, ZTE, is shutting down global operations in the face of crippling sanctions levied by the US government. ZTE is China’s number-two smartphone maker, and as recently as last year it was the number-four smartphone vendor in the US.

“The major operating activities of the Company have ceased,” ZTE wrote (PDF) in a Wednesday announcement to stock market traders in Hong Kong.

ZTE’s business became untenable after a US government order banned American companies from exporting technology to the Chinese smartphone maker. ZTE is heavily dependent on US-made components, especially Qualcomm chips and Google’s Android software stack.

Last year, ZTE admitted to an elaborate multi-year scheme to sell US-made technology to Iran and North Korea in violation of US sanctions laws. ZTE paid $890 million in penalties and said it was in the process of disciplining dozens of senior company officials who had orchestrated a scheme to violate US sanctions laws.

But last month the Trump administration accused ZTE of continuing to lie to the US government even after last year’s guilty plea. The company told the US government that the guilty executives had received letters of reprimand and had had their 2016 bonuses reduced. But the US now says that was a lie—many of the employees received full bonuses, and they didn’t receive letters of reprimand until early 2018—after the US government challenged ZTE on the issue.

In the April 15 order activating the export ban against ZTE, US Commerce Department official Richard Majauskas wrote that ZTE had demonstrated a “pattern of deception, false statements, and repeated violations.” A July 2017 letter to US officials was “brimming with false statements,” he said.

Since 2011, Majauskas argued, ZTE had “employed multiple strategies in an attempt to conceal and obscure the true nature and extent of the company’s role” in transactions that moved US-made technology to Iran and North Korea. “As a result of the conspiracy, ZTE was able to obtain hundreds of millions of dollars in contracts with and sales from Iranian entities to ship routers, microprocessors, and servers” that were subject to US export restrictions.

So on April 15, the US Commerce Department invoked the nuclear option, banning US companies from doing business with ZTE.

Unfortunately for ZTE, US-made hardware and software are a huge part of ZTE’s products. According to Reuters, at least 25 percent of the components in ZTE’s phones came from US companies. ZTE makes heavy use of Qualcomm chips for its smartphones and other products.

Even worse, the export ban included Google’s suite of standard Android apps. While the Android operating system itself is open source, Google has maintained control over apps like Google Maps and, most importantly, the Play Store. Outside of China, it’s difficult to sell an Android phone without access to Google’s app store.

Now it appears that ZTE is on the verge of going out of business altogether. ZTE says it is “actively communicating with the relevant US government departments” to negotiate a reversal of the export ban. But it’s hard to imagine the Trump administration reversing course at this point. And ZTE would need to redesign many of its products from scratch to manufacture them without US-made chips or software.

ZTE’s demise is the latest sign of a deepening trade rift between the United States and China, with information technology being a particular flashpoint. China’s other leading smartphone maker, Huawei, has struggled to make deals with US wireless carriers due to pressure from US regulators worried about national security. And in the last year, the Trump administration has blocked at least two deals that would have put US semiconductor firms under the control of Chinese companies.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has responded by calling on China to become more self-sufficient in information technology.